Significant Drop Forecast for LAUSD Enrollment Over Next Decade

The latest LAUSD enrollment predictions show what Superintendent Alberto Carvalho called an 'alarming convergence and acceleration' of decline.

LAUSD Superintendent Alberto M. Carvalho speaks with students.

Leaders of the giant Los Angeles Unified School District have been told that enrollment is expected to significantly decrease over the next decade.

The latest prediction in the ongoing decline was presented to the Board of Education in a budget workshop Tuesday.

The outlook comes as the district faces decisions on use of historically high education funding that is expected to be temporary and negotiations with the teachers union, the Los Angeles Times reported.

Enrollment in LA Unified peaked at about 737,000 students two decades ago and has declined over the years to about 430,000 K-12th graders currently.

Enrollment is expected to drop about 3.6% annually to an estimated 309,000 in nine years, according to the presentation.

“The perfect storm is brewing," Superintendent Alberto Carvalho said.

“Los Angeles Unified is facing an alarming convergence and acceleration of enrollment decline and the expiration of one-time state and federal dollars, as well as ongoing and increasing financial liabilities,” he said.

Copyright AP - Associated Press
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