Los Angeles

Is It More Affordable to Buy a House in California Lately? Realtors Think So

California's housing affordability index hit a peak of 56% in the first quarter of 2012.

What to Know

  • Not in California: 57% of the nation could afford a $254,800 median-priced home, on an income of $53,620, making $1,340 monthly payments.
  • Affordability results in Southern California were mixed as only Orange and San Diego counties recorded an improvement from a year ago.
  • During the first quarter, the most affordable counties in California were Lassen, Kings, and Siskiyou. Minimum annual income needed? $47,340

More Californians could afford to purchase a home in the first quarter of 2019 as lower mortgage interest rates and lower seasonal home prices combined with higher income levels to improve California housing affordability, the California Association of Realtors said Tuesday.

The percentage of homebuyers who could afford to purchase a median-priced, existing single-family home in California in first-quarter 2019 rose to 32% from 28% in the fourth quarter of 2018 and from 31% in the first quarter a year ago, according to CAR's Traditional Housing Affordability Index. The index climbed above 30% for the first time in a year. California's housing affordability index hit a peak of 56% in the first quarter of 2012.

CAR's HAI measures the percentage of all households that can afford to purchase a median-priced, single-family home in California. The index is considered the most fundamental measure of housing well-being for homebuyers in the state.

Minimum Income and Payments on Average

A minimum annual income of $114,860 was needed to qualify for the purchase of a $545,820 statewide median-priced, existing single-family home in the first quarter of 2019. The monthly payment, including taxes and insurance on a 30-year, fixed-rate loan, would be $2,870, assuming a 20% down payment and an effective composite interest rate of 4.62%. The effective composite interest rate was 4.95% in fourth-quarter 2018 and 4.44% in first-quarter 2018.

Housing affordability for condominiums and townhomes also improved in first-quarter 2019 compared to the previous quarter, with 41% of California households earning the minimum income to qualify for the purchase of a $450,000 median-priced condominium/townhome, up from 37% in the previous quarter. An annual income of $94,690 was required to make monthly payments of $2,370. Thirty-nine percent of households could afford to buy a condominium/townhome a year ago.

How Does California Stack Up?

Compared with California, more than half of the nation's households (57%) could afford to purchase a $254,800 median-priced home, which required a minimum annual income of $53,620 to make monthly payments of $1,340.

Key points from the first-quarter 2019 Housing Affordability report include: Housing affordability improved from first-quarter 2018 in 28 tracked counties and declined in 16 counties. Affordability in four counties remained flat.

In the San Francisco Bay Area, affordability improved from a year ago in every county. San Francisco County was the least affordable, with just 17% of households able to purchase the $1,532,500 median-priced home. Forty-six percent of Solano County households could afford the $430,500 median-priced home, making it the most affordable Bay Area county.

Affordability results in the Southern California region were mixed as only Orange and San Diego counties recorded an improvement from a year ago, while San Bernardino and Ventura counties experienced a decline. Affordability was unchanged in Los Angeles and Riverside counties.

In the Central Valley region, affordability held even from a year ago only in two counties — Fresno and Sacramento — and fell in three counties — Kern, San Benito and Stanislaus. Kings, Madera, Merced, Placer, San Joaquin and Tulare counties recorded improvements.

Housing affordability improved in all four counties in the Central Coast region, which includes Monterey, San Luis Obispo, Santa Barbara and Santa Cruz counties.

Most Affordable

During the first quarter of 2019, the most affordable counties in California were Lassen (63%), Kings (57%) and Siskiyou (53%). The minimum annual income needed to qualify for a home in these counties was $47,340 or less.

Least Affordable

Mono (10%), San Francisco (17%), Santa Cruz (17%) and San Mateo (18%) counties were the least affordable areas in the state. San Francisco and San Mateo counties required the highest minimum qualifying incomes in the state. An annual income of $322,480 was needed to purchase a home in San Francisco County, and an annual income of $323,010 was required in San Mateo County.

Copyright CNS - City News Service
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